Insight
July 2026
The Purple Issue 23
Return of the IPOs: H1 2026’s Record Listings Through a Securities Finance Lens
H1 2026 was one of the most active periods for new equity issuance on record. U.S. IPOs and share sales surpassed $251 billion, the highest first-half total since the 2021 issuance boom, across more than 200 announced listings, with Nasdaq reporting its strongest first half in exchange history. Against that backdrop, the global securities lending industry generated a record $9.1 billion in revenue, up 34% year-on-year, as elevated market activity kept short sellers engaged across asset classes. Three listings in particular, Cerebras, Quantinuum, and SpaceX, each tell a distinct securities finance story, and together they offer a lens for reading what the remainder of the year may hold.
The New-Issue Window Flies Open
For much of 2023 and 2024, the IPO market remained largely shuttered. A tentative recovery through 2025 set the stage, but H1 2026 was where confidence fully returned. By proceeds, H1 was the most active half-year on record. By count, 203 announced listings placed it among the three busiest first halves of the past decade.
The economic conditions driving that revival were the same ones reshaping the securities lending landscape. Elevated volatility around AI-related stocks, biotech catalysts, and APAC technology names kept short sellers active and inventive. Loan balances reached $4.38 trillion globally, and the concentrated nature of the year’s biggest listings meant a small number of names were exerting an outsized influence on borrow demand, fee dynamics, and lending revenue. New issuance creates natural securities finance activity: constrained supply at launch, building short conviction as price discovery matures, and lockup expiries that reshape the borrow landscape for months after a stock begins trading.
Cerebras (CBRS): The AI Chip Story
When Cerebras priced its IPO on May 14 at $185 per share and opened the following morning at $350, it announced the arrival of H1 2026’s first major listing with considerable force. The largest semiconductor IPO on record raised $5.55 billion and closed its debut day at $311, a 68% gain from the offer price, as investors rushed to stake a position in AI infrastructure at scale.
The securities lending market moved just as quickly. On May 15, the first full trading day, Cerebras already had 1.55 million shares on loan, representing an on-loan value of around $430 million, with fees well into the several-hundred-basis-point range, a clear signal that short sellers were hunting for borrow from the outset, and that supply was scarce. Over the following week, loan volumes expanded rapidly as more inventory entered the lendable pool: by May 21, shares on loan had reached 5.3 million. Fees eased as supply loosened, but utilization remained elevated, reflecting persistent demand even as the stock began retreating from its near-$304 peak.
The narrative deepened through June. As Cerebras pulled back from its highs, trading at $181 by late June against a peak of $303 in mid-May, short conviction strengthened. By June 30, utilization had climbed to over 90% and more than half the float was on loan, with fees spiking back above 200 basis points as demand outpaced available supply. On-loan value at that point had grown to approximately $3.8 billion, nearly nine times where it started six weeks earlier. Shortly after, what appeared to be a significant expansion in the lendable pool caused the float-on-loan percentage to ease materially, though fees remained elevated through early July, reflecting continued short interest even as borrowing became easier.
As of July 10, Cerebras had approximately 16 million shares on loan at an on-loan value of around $3.5 billion, with utilization approaching 80%, and a stock price of $215, above its $185 IPO price but well off its opening-day high.
Quantinuum (QNT): Quantum’s Quiet Hard-to-Borrow
Quantinuum’s Nasdaq debut on June 4 told a very different story above the tape. The quantum computing company raised $1.68 billion in an upsized IPO priced at $60 per share, opened at $68, and closed little changed, a muted reception for a landmark listing. Within days, the stock had slipped below its IPO price, trading at $56.26 by June 5 despite the fanfare of being the first major quantum computing company to go public.
Below the tape, however, Quantinuum was immediately one of the hottest borrows in the market. On the day after its listing, borrow fees were in excess of 1,000 basis points, a level that reflects severely constrained supply and intense short demand. The on-loan value at that stage was modest, a function of the very small number of shares available to borrow rather than any lack of demand. Fees barely shifted for the first several days as shorts paid a steep premium to establish positions in a name where very little inventory was available.
As more lendable inventory entered the market through mid-June, fees fell, though not dramatically. Several-hundred-basis-point fees prevailed through mid-June and into the end of the month, and while they declined into July, they remained meaningfully elevated. On-loan value grew alongside share availability, reaching approximately $360 million by the end of June, a level that, combined with persistently high fees, made Quantinuum a more significant revenue contributor than its relatively low profile would suggest. Notably, the stock’s partial recovery, back to the $70-83 range by early July, did not prompt meaningful short covering. Nearly 10% of float remained on loan as of July 10, with fees still in the low-to-mid hundreds of basis points. The enduring fee level suggests Quantinuum is a structurally hard-to-borrow name: the short thesis has not dissolved with the stock’s recovery, and the borrow market continues to price that conviction.
SpaceX (SPCX): History-Making IPO, History-Making Borrow Story
No summary of H1 2026 is complete without SpaceX. When the company priced its IPO at $135 per share on June 12 and raised $86.2 billion, more than three times the previous record set by Saudi Aramco in 2019, it rewrote what an initial public offering can be. At a valuation of $1.77 trillion, it entered the public markets as one of the most valuable companies in the world. The opening days reflected that enthusiasm: the stock surged to a high of around $201 shortly after listing before settling back.
The securities finance picture that emerged in the days and weeks that followed was equally significant, though structurally different from the other names in this cohort. First-available DataLend data from June 15, three days post-IPO, showed 18.6 million shares already on loan at an on-loan value of approximately $3.6 billion, with fees in the mid-to-high hundreds of basis points. But that initial fee level proved short-lived. By June 16, as additional supply entered the market and the stock briefly touched its post-IPO high of around $201, borrow costs dropped sharply to below 50 basis points. Over the following week they stabilized at similar levels, and supply appeared broadly adequate to meet demand, a meaningfully different dynamic from Quantinuum’s constrained market or Cerebras’s initial scarcity.
What has been anything but modest is the growth in loan volumes. As SpaceX’s stock declined steadily from its opening-week highs, trading through $154 by June 22, back to the mid-$160s briefly, then grinding lower toward the $145 range by early July, short interest built at a remarkable pace. Shares on loan expanded from 18.6 million on June 15 to over 211 million by July 10: an eleven-fold increase in under four weeks. Over that same period, on-loan value grew from approximately $3.6 billion to around $30.7 billion, reflecting the combination of volume growth and a stock that, even as it declined, remained a very large-cap name. Utilization reached 77% and over 38% of the float was on loan as of the latest data. The stock now sits just above the $135 IPO price, meaning that short sellers who established positions during the stock’s early peak have broadly been right.
Despite per-unit fees that are modest relative to the other names in this cohort, the sheer scale of the loan balance translates to substantial revenue. SpaceX was a top-20 U.S. equity earner in June despite IPO’ing halfway through the month, a striking illustration of how a single listing can reshape the revenue landscape in short order.
The more significant securities finance story may still be ahead. SpaceX’s lockup structure is unusually complex: a 20% unlock for employees and pre-IPO holders is expected following Q2 earnings in late July, with an additional 10% tranche available if the stock has traded 30% or more above the $135 IPO price for five of ten consecutive trading days prior to that report. Further incremental unlocks of 7% each are scheduled for late August through late October. The critical constraint is at the top: Elon Musk’s 6.4 billion shares, together with a broader extended-investor block representing more than 63% of pre-IPO shares outstanding, remain locked until at least Q1 2027, with Musk’s position locked until June 2027. Each staggered unlock event represents a potential inflection in borrow supply, fee dynamics and short positioning. The remainder of 2026 is, in many ways, a SpaceX lockup calendar.
The IPO has also generated notable spillover effects. With SpaceX’s listing reordering the competitive landscape of the space sector, names including AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) and Virgin Galactic/Rocket Lab (SPCE) have attracted incremental short interest from traders repositioning around the new entrant’s competitive implications.
What Comes Next: The H2 Pipeline Takes Shape
The H1 cohort set a high bar. Whether H2 can match it depends heavily on which of the anticipated mega-names actually cross the line.
The pipeline has shifted considerably since the start of the year. Anthropic remains on track for a late2026 debut after confidentially filing on June 1, with its most recent private funding round implying a valuation approaching $965 billion. Prediction markets currently price an Anthropic listing before yearend at roughly 75%.
OpenAI presents a more complicated picture. Despite confidentially filing for an IPO in June 2026 and initially targeting a Q3 or Q4 listing at a valuation approaching $1 trillion, the company is reportedly weighing a delay into 2027, a recalibration that market observers have linked in part to SpaceX’s postIPO price action, which has underwhelmed relative to its opening-day levels.
Databricks has effectively removed itself from the 2026 conversation. CEO Ali Ghodsi explicitly ruled out a listing this year amid a crowded slate of large technology offerings; 2027 is now the market consensus.
For securities finance practitioners, the pipeline matters beyond headline valuations. Anthropic’s listing, should it proceed, would arrive at a scale and with a level of investor fascination that could generate borrow dynamics rivalling or exceeding SpaceX, particularly if supply is initially constrained and short interest builds rapidly around lock-up mechanics. The IPO-to-lending-revenue lag observed in prior cycles, where the most intense borrow activity often arrives three to nine months post-listing, means the full revenue impact of the H1 cohort will likely not be felt until well into 2026 and 2027.
Conclusion
H1 2026 was not simply a great IPO market. It was a securities finance event unfolding in slow motion, and for many practitioners, the most consequential chapters are still being written. Cerebras demonstrated how quickly a high-flying debut can generate short conviction. Quantinuum showed that the most interesting borrow stories are not always the loudest ones above the tape. And SpaceX, in producing the largest IPO in history, has also produced one of the most watched lockup calendars in securities lending history. With $9.1 billion in H1 revenue already on the books and a second half shaped by staggered unlocks, a narrowing but consequential pipeline, and short interest still building across the cohort, the industry’s best days from this vintage may still lie ahead.
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