Insight
July 2025
The Purple
Tariff Turbulence:
How Trade Wars Reshaped Securities Lending in H1 2025
The securities lending market thrives on market volatility and since Trump took office the VIX volatility index peaked to levels not seen since March 2020, when COVID rattled the globe. According to President Trump, “Tariffs is the most beautiful word to me in the dictionary” but to many sectors dependent on global supply chains, commodity inputs or export markets, tariffs represent operational challenges that trigger shifts in investor sentiment, which makes real-time securities finance data crucial to help identify short interest trends. Join the Data & Analytics team as we investigate the industries that were impacted most in the first half of 2025.
Semiconductors and Semiconductor Hardware
While large-cap chipmakers drew most headlines during the tariff era, smaller and specialized semiconductor firms like United Micro Electronics (UMC US) and Wolfspeed (WOLF US) led the semiconductor and equipment sector within securities lending. United Micro Electronic, a major Taiwanese chip manufacturer with foundries in China, faced pressure from escalating U.S.–China tensions as its customers shifted to other manufacturers with less geopolitical risk. Concerns about cross-border chip flows and tightening export controls led to investors questioning upcoming earnings estimates and the company’s ability to redirect production amongst foundries outside of the U.S. While average fees were elevated in the first half of 2024 at 530 basis points, 2025 saw average fees of 1,400 basis points resulting in the Taiwanese chip foundry being the top earner in the sector with over $20.4 million revenue generated in the securities financing market.
Wolfspeed (WOLF), a key supplier of silicon carbide semiconductors used in EVs and power electronics, was affected by tariffs on Chinese automotive parts and materials which disrupted its downstream customers and increased raw material costs. The company’s exposure to clean tech and industrial markets made it sensitive to macro trade dynamics while reduced consumer demand for EVs and planned changes to tax credit policies in the U.S. lead to erratic stock movements and growing short interest. H1 2024 was banner half for EV sales in the U.S. and its supply chain with Wolfspeed trading at general collateral levels, but 2025’s tariffs and uncertain consumer demand increased financing costs to over 1,000 basis points for the half with $12.5 million in revenue generated.
These companies, while diverse in focus, both experienced heightened uncertainty and securities lending demand due to their niche positions in a sector deeply entangled with tariff policy and national security concerns.
Automobiles and Components
he automotive sector was among the most severely affected by Trump’s tariffs, with General Motors (GM US) and Ford (F US) bearing the brunt due to their reliance on cross-border supply chains and imported materials. When the 25% tariff on imported vehicles and parts was announced in early 2025, GM’s stock plunged 7.8% in a single day, wiping out billions in market capitalization. The company suspended its full-year earnings guidance and projected a $4-5 billion hit from increased input costs and weaker demand in key markets like China. With securities lendable inventory never in question, fees remained at general collateral levels throughout the first half of 2025. However, short activity for the American car manufacturer drove the average loan balance by just under 500% from $377 million to $1.835 billion in H1 2025.
Ford, while slightly less exposed, still suffered a 4.6% stock decline, with analysts estimating a $1.5 billion earnings impact tied to tariffs on steel, aluminum and critical components. Both automakers faced mounting cost pressures and operational uncertainty, triggering elevated short interest and securities lending activity. Loan balances during the first half of 2025 increased by 80% year-over-year to $1.031 billion.
While EV manufacturers like Rivian (RIVN US) and Lucid (LCID US) generated higher lending revenue due to consumer demand issues, the American automotive industry stalwarts are poised to experience greater volatility as tariff negotiations continue.
In the EMEA securities lending market, the overall performance was mixed from the latter half of 2024. A 21% increase in the volume of securities on loan was mitigated by a 17% fall in fees, causing a marginal 2% increase in revenue year-on-year. Many positive performances were seen across the industrial sectors in H1 2025 but most notably, the Utilities sector experienced a 35% year-over-year revenue increase, taking the total revenue for Utilities just shy of $30 million for the 6-month period. The top 3 EMEA revenue earners in the first half of this year were (1) SGS SA (SGS SA) ($16.4 million), (2) VOLVO (VLVLY)(AB) SER’B’NPV ($11.3 million) and (3) KONINKLIJKE PHILIPS (PHG) ($9.3 million).
It was the APAC equities market however, that contributed most to the global increase in revenue during 2025, with a $256 million increase, taking the revenue to $1.22 billion for H1. Large contributions due to the lifting of the short selling ban in South Korea at the close of Q1 and a significant increase in the volume of Hong Kong securities on loan (up 59%) powered this revenue increase in region. Meanwhile, the Hang Seng Index was up more than 20% while Chinese President Xi Jinping responded to President Trump’s tariff threats with aggression of his own.
Two of the most significant H1 2025 movers in the Asian equity lending market were Metaplanet (MTPLF) and LG Energy (373220). Metaplanet – formerly a Tokyo-listed hotel developer – rebranded completely in 2024 to become a fully focussed Bitcoin treasury company, focused on holding and growing bitcoin reserves. In the past month, Metaplanet acquired a further $108 million of Bitcoin, increasing reserves to approximately 13,350 BTC and has since announced plans to target 210,000 BTC by 2027. Uncertain investment activity has caused repeated fluctuations in Metaplanet share prices and has made it one of the most profitable equities in the securities lending market, returning over $31 million to lenders in H1 2025, with fees up 685% year-over-year. Likewise, LG Energy Solution, a South Korean based battery producer, generated $25.5 million in lending revenue so far this year. As one of the biggest battery manufacturers for EVs globally and a provider to some of the largest car companies on the planet, LG Energy have been central to the volatility produced by the US tariff implementations and the effect on the EV market as a whole. The impact of lifting the short selling ban in South Korea has further fuelled LG Energy to be a significant earner for lenders in H1 2025.
Agriculture, Food Beverage and Tobacco
Archer Daniels Midland (ADM US) and Tyson Foods (TSN US) were among the most affected agricultural stocks during Trump-era tariffs. When China imposed a 34% tariff on U.S. soybeans in April 2025, ADM’s stock plunged 8.9% in a single day—its sharpest drop in over two years—as collapsing export demand and falling soybean prices threatened its core processing margins. Within the lending market, the average borrow value rose by 201% to just over $500 million compared to the first half of 2024. While fees remained low, revenue generated by ADM increased by 188%.
Tyson Foods, heavily reliant on meat exports, saw its stock drop 5.2% following retaliatory Chinese tariffs on U.S. pork and beef. These tariffs disrupted export volumes and pressured domestic pricing, creating margin compression across Tyson’s protein divisions. Although lending balances rose by a marginal 14% year-over-year, the true impact to Tyson and the other companies mentioned will be seen on August 1, the new effective date for the tariffs.
Both stocks experienced spikes in borrow demand as short sellers positioned around supply chain disruption and commodity price volatility, making the food and beverage industry one of the most reactive sectors to tariff headlines.
Corporate Debt performed well in North America during H1, as the corporate lending market grossed $218 million in revenue, a 9% increase year-over-year. This can be credited largely due to an uptake in high yield instruments which saw a 23% increase in revenue compared to the same time last year. U.S. treasury revenue increased by $52 million as the on-loan value increased 13% compared to H1 2024.
Looking Forward
As tariffs re-enter the center of U.S. trade policy under the Trump administration, market volatility has surged, bringing renewed attention to sectors most exposed to global supply chains and geopolitical risk. In the first half of 2025, semiconductor, automotive, and agricultural stocks demonstrated the sharpest reactions to tariff-related headlines—through both stock price volatility and securities lending activity. While the long-term policy outlook remains uncertain with negotiations well underway, these sectors have become early barometers of investor sentiment and short demand as tariff enforcement intensifies. As we move into the second half of the year, the Data & Analytics team will continue monitoring loan activity, short positioning and sector-specific lending behavior as global markets price the real cost of the U.S. President’s favorite word in the dictionary.
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