2026: The AI Trade Grows Up

Insight

July 2026

The Purple Issue 23

2026: The AI Trade Grows Up

Six months ago, we wrote about how AI-linked equities had redefined the securities lending landscape in 2025, a year shaped by speculative positioning, breakout IPOs, and the kind of volatility that provides opportunity for the market. The AI focus not only continued but expanded into 2026.

The AI trade has attracted a broader range of companies than anyone anticipated. When Allbirds, a footwear brand better known for its wool trainers than its computing power, announced it was exiting the shoe market to rebrand as SmartBird Inc and pivot to GPU-as-a-Service infrastructure, its share price rose over 580% in a single session. The EquiLend data captured the skepticism almost immediately, with borrowing activity rising more than 300% and fees spiking to over 20,000bps in the days following the announcement. A stark reminder that rebranding as an AI company and being accepted as one are very different things.

But beneath opportunism, the more substantive questions have sharpened. The market has moved from asking who will win the AI race to asking who can sustain it, and which established businesses are being disrupted by it. Those questions are visible in the lending data as clearly as anywhere. Here we look at three names that tell that story.

Infosys ADR (INFY)

In our last AI article, we stated that Infosys earned roughly $91 million in securities lending revenue across the entirety of 2025, making it the third-largest earner globally. In the first half of 2026 alone, it has already generated $106.6 million, surpassing its full-year total with six months still to run. Utilization stands at 95% with average fees in H1 2026 above 1,000 basis points, a lending profile that reflects acute and sustained borrow demand.

The driver is no longer simply institutional repositioning around IT spending cycles. The market is now actively debating whether AI is transforming what Infosys sells or threatening the model it sells it through. If AI agents can automate the large-scale application management and software development that underpins the company’s revenue base, the AI-first consultancy thesis begins to look considerably more fragile. Short sellers are not betting against Infosys’s past; they are betting against its future. For lenders, that ambiguity has been extraordinarily productive.

SoundHound AI (SOUN)

SoundHound AI is another name that has caught the attention of the lending market generating $39.8 million in lender revenue, driven largely by rising fees and consistently high utilization, leaving virtually no inventory left to deploy.

Sitting at the more speculative end of the AI value chain, SoundHound is a voice AI company whose stock has fallen around 37% since January despite continued revenue growth. The market’s concern is not the top line; it is whether the path to profitability is credible given the scale of losses and a crowded competitive landscape. That gap between revenue momentum and profitability doubt is precisely what drives sustained borrow demand.

IonQ (IONQ)

IIonQ is the most established pure-play quantum computing company in the public markets, and in contrast to the momentum-driven names that dominated the 2025 AI lending story, its presence in the EquiLend data reflects something more structural. The company generated $6.9 million in H1 2026 lender revenue with fees of around 30 basis points and utilization at 74%, a profile that speaks to sustained institutional borrow demand rather than short-term sentiment driven spikes.

The fundamental story gives short sellers genuine cause for debate. IonQ reported Q1 2026 revenue of $64.7 million, representing 755% year-on-year growth, yet continues to generate substantial operating losses as it invests heavily in research and commercial expansion. Short interest has ranged from 30% in April down to 19% at the time of writing, reflecting an ongoing tug of war between believers in the quantum computing opportunity and those questioning when, if ever, it converts to profit. For lenders, that tension has produced a steady and reliable source of borrow demand throughout the half.

The Signal Remains

The diversity of these three names reflects how much the AI trade has matured in twelve months. The debate has moved from who will win the race to who can sustain it, and the securities lending data captures that shift as clearly as any other market signal. An IT services giant being re-rated by the very technology it helped deploy, a voice AI stock running at near-total inventory deployment, and a quantum computing company whose record revenue growth has done little to dampen short-side conviction. The first half of 2026 has been anything but dull.

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